Understanding Uncertainty

Welcome to Understanding Uncertainty

Posted November 29th, 2007 by david

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Are you uncertain? Are you struggling with risk, doubt, ignorance, ambiguity and indecision? You are not on your own.

Here we try and make some sense of what we hear about chance, risk, uncertainty and probability.

This site was launched in May 2008 and we are gradually adding material.

In Coincidences we look at why surprising things happen.
In National Lottery we examine the history of the UK Lottery and show some apparently remarkable events. Is it all just chance?
In Premier League we look at the English Football Premier League over two seasons. Who really are the best and worst teams?

There will be a lot more things appearing - see About Us.

Latest: The 2007-2008 Premier League

Watch how the 2007-2008 season developed.

You need to install the Adobe Flash Player to see the animation.

Click to enlarge the animation

Go to Premier League to get the full story on how much of the point-spread is due to chance alone.

Risk in the media

Posted June 5th, 2008 by Horace

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level 1

One of our aims is to look at how the mass media portray risk stories, and what we might learn from that experience. The only way most people (including us) hear about risks is through the media, and understanding the reporting could help towards a better understanding of risk and uncertainty.