Cambridge Coincidences Collection

As of the 23rd May 2022 this website is archived and will receive no further updates.

understandinguncertainty.org was produced by the Winton programme for the public understanding of risk based in the Statistical Laboratory in the University of Cambridge. The aim was to help improve the way that uncertainty and risk are discussed in society, and show how probability and statistics can be both useful and entertaining.

Many of the animations were produced using Flash and will no longer work.

Well I Never!

Professor David Spiegelhalter of Cambridge University wants to know about your coincidences!

Chance meet on the train

We live in France.My brother and his family live in Somerset.Unannounced my husband decided to take a trip to visit his family in Scotland and for the first time travelled as a foot passenger.As he settled down in the train after it's stop at Reading our sister in law came and took the only seat opposite him!She just stared,disbelieving before saying "I know it's you but what are you doing here,you live in France"! They chatted and laughed upto London before saying goodbye and going their seperate ways. 30minutes later they realised they were sitting next to each other on the underground train! What are the chances of not one but two meetings like this!

amazing Italian coincidence

In the summer of 1964 my family were camping by the sea near Pisa. Two of our children were digging in the sand, and another youg boy joined them. I went over to watch; the other boy was also English. "Where do you come from?" I asked. He could only answer "Palace Road". His father came to join us. I asked him "Where is Palace Road?", because the name immediately reminded me of the Palace Road in Cardiff where, 20 years earlier, I caught the bus to school. "Cardiff" he replied. I said, "How amazing. I used to catch the No. 25 bus to school outside the house where our family GP lived; a Dr. Davies." He said, "I'm Dr. Davies' son, and now I live there; I too am Dr. Davies." I told him, "Your father brought me into the world, and was my doctor as I grew up." I've always thought of that as being the most amazing coincidence I knowl; a chance meeting on an Italian beach!

God incidence.

Early in the 1980s, whilst on a slow journey to the Christian faith, I was talking with a friend about prayer. Mark asked me what I prayed about; I said that I prayed about world peace, famine, the environment, etc; all major matters. When I asked him what he prayed about, he told me that he prayed about anything, even a headache if he had one. I felt that God wasn't interested in minor personal issues and we ended the evening by agreeing to disagree. The following day we drove to Bristol where Mark wanted to buy a guitar and we managed to find a parking meter with about 5 minutes left on the meter. Neither of us had any change, but we decided to 'chance it' and have a quick look in the shop. As I got out of the car I said, "What we need now Lord is 10p" I turned away from the car and there on the ground, a metre away, was 10p. Being really slow [and a Christian as well!] the co-incidence about the previous evening's discussion about minor matters didn't occur to me until a day later.

Birth coincidence

Two pregnant Air Force wives, one of them my mother, were returning by ship to the Uk from Aden in 1937/38. One went into labour whilst on board and my mother, as the only other woman on board, had to assist the doctor in the delivery of twin girls. Eleven years later I took a girl home from school as her parents were too far away for her to return home. Yes, it was one of the twins my mother had helped deliver.

San Francisco coincidence

While on holiday in San Francisco we were invited to lunch with a family we had met. They asked us our travel plans and we told them we were travelling on to Phoenix to visit friends, describing how this couple had a holiday house there but lived in Wales where they had a business called Bacchante Crafts producing screen printed slate products. The family said they had bought some coasters like that when they visited England, they showed them to us and printed on the back of the coaster was our friends label, Bacchante Crafts, Wales.

Mexican map

I was in San Carlos in Mexico. I needed a detailed map of the area. I took the local bus to Guaymas to find a map. I searched everywhere but I couldn’t find one. On the bus on my way back to my hotel I found myself sitting next to a man called Manuel Octavio Soto Lopez. He was a cartologist. After months of work he had just finished drawing a map of the area. In his hands he had the most up to date map of Guaymas in existence. He had just picked it up from the printers! He was so shocked by the coincidence that he gave me the map.

Montserrat dread date

On the West Indian island of Montserrat, the date 17th September is always greeted with trepidation, due to four incidents, all within living memory: 1965 PanAm 292 crashed into the volcano, killing all 30 souls on board (it was the first Boeing 707 ever built); 1989 Hurricane Hugo (Cat IV) devastated the island - 90% building stock destroyed, island had to depend on UK aid thereafter (only minor injuries and no death; other, previous hurricanes have visited with death tolls, as have earthquakes, but none on 17 Sept); 1996 first major explosion from Soufriere Hills Volcano produced a 13km high eruption column and did extensive local damage, and was a shock to local population, however no-one injured or killed (the volcanic crisis started in 1995 and the eruption is on-going today - there have been some bigger explosions since, and one with fatalities, but 17 Sept 1996 had a big impact on societal perceptions of risk); 2011 a major prolonged violent thunderstorm caused extensive damage across the island, knocking out power and destroying US$30k of volcano monitoring equipment.

Meeting Coincidences

Two instances at the same birthday party. I went to a party and met a woman I had never seen before. I suggested she was not local to our region and asked where she came from. She replied that her family had lived in Tunbridge Wells. I told her that I was born there. She then said that they had moved to Walton-onThames. I told her I had attended a school in Walton-onThames for a year. I then looked across at the door and saw a new arrival. I thought I recognised her face. It turned out that her mother and I had been very good friends some 40 years ago. I had stayed with this family when I had moved and house alterations were done. Although I had seen her mother on several occasions I had not seen Emma, her daughter in all that time. Two incidents at the party of a man I had only known for eighteen months.

Goldfish Prescience

Each year my company attends the International Travel Catering Association (ITCA) exhibition with a number of invited guests. In 2008 this event was held in Nice, Cote d'Azur. I and a colleague, David N who was assiting me for the week went down to Nice on Mon 12th Feb 2008 to check that all our e-mail and telephone arrangements were in place. The main body of our guests were due to arrive the following day. </p> <p>On the evening of the 12th we decided to eat at and check out, one of the restaurants that we had been recommended to and had booked for a dinner two days later. Having had a very good meal and being well satisfied with the quality on offer my colleague and I left the restaurant. Outside the resaurant was a sort of patio are with umbrellas for smokers to indulge. In the centre of this area was a goldfish swimming around in a old fashioned goldfish bowl. Apropos of nothing, David N pointed at the goldfish and said "That fish's days are numbered". I thought nothing about this and we strolled away chatting. </p> <p>Two days later on the evening of Wed 14th Feb we held the dinner at the restaurant with about 40 guests.

x -girl friend

Was engaged to a girl which later brokeup emigrated to S Africa met present wife Decided to return to U K but before leaving toured AFRICA when in BULAWAYO ---then Rhodesia we passed a car in back was agirl who was identical in looks to my x -girlfriend Founnd out from an aunt that my x was teaching in bulawayo when i later returned home

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