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As of the 23rd May 2022 this website is archived and will receive no further updates.

understandinguncertainty.org was produced by the Winton programme for the public understanding of risk based in the Statistical Laboratory in the University of Cambridge. The aim was to help improve the way that uncertainty and risk are discussed in society, and show how probability and statistics can be both useful and entertaining.

Many of the animations were produced using Flash and will no longer work.

Who is this?

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This short video clip featuring the head in our logo is a cryptic reference to a famously improbable death. Can you work out who it is, what happened, where and when it happened, and what animals and birds were involved?

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