Cambridge Coincidences Collection

As of the 23rd May 2022 this website is archived and will receive no further updates.

understandinguncertainty.org was produced by the Winton programme for the public understanding of risk based in the Statistical Laboratory in the University of Cambridge. The aim was to help improve the way that uncertainty and risk are discussed in society, and show how probability and statistics can be both useful and entertaining.

Many of the animations were produced using Flash and will no longer work.

Well I Never!

Professor David Spiegelhalter of Cambridge University wants to know about your coincidences!

mr. neill welch, Whetstone N20 9QG

I was watching the excellent BBC programme ,Earthflight with my wife , at 8p.m. on thursday 12 Jan. One of the outstanding sequences was of geese flying up the west coast of Italy. In the background was a large boat. My wife and I have cruised several times and can now recognise features of ships from other lines. Down below was a large cruise liner with the unmistakeable (old fashioned type) yellow funnel. I said 'Look! There's a Costa' This ship was probably out of Civatavecchia and it is sobering to think that it was only miles from where this ship or another of the Costa Line hit a rock with the resultant disaster P.S. I have been talking about Earthflight and my E-mail address is going to Wingspan!!!

TWINS

WE ARE A GROUP OF 5 COUPLES WHO HAVE BEEN GREAT FRIENDS SINCE THE SIXTIES. IN 2005 4 OF THE 5 COUPLES WERE DELIGHTED TO FIND THAT THEY WERE GOING TO BECOME GRANDPARENTS IN 2006. OF THE 4 PREGNANCIES 3 RESULTED IN TWIN BIRTHS (ALL WERE CONCEIVED NATURALLY).

The New Job

Back in 1963, I was returning from Stoke Poges to my bachelor flat in London on a very wet rainy Sunday night and driving down the Earls Court Road I was obliged to stop at the pedestrian crossing outside Earls Court Underground Station. Glancing in my rear view mirror I was alarmed to see that the vehicle behind me, a three wheeled Meschersmit, was not going to stop in time and was skidding on the wet road. Following the inevitable impact, the exchange of names and addresses, made worse by the rain and some ribald comments by some Australians sheltering in the station entrance, took place and it transpired that the man driving the Meschersmit was a certain John Priestly who lived in Shawfield Street off the Kings Road in Chelsea. We left the scene, he with his creased Meschsmit and me with a crumpled rear bumper and I returned to my flat. The nxt day, Monday morning, I was starting a new job and joining a firm of Surveyors as a junior surveyor whose offices were in Flood Street in Chelsea, just off the Kings Road. Being somewhat nervous on the first day, I arrived at the office far too early so decided to walk round the block a couple of times to burn up some time.

3 same day birthdays in a work department of 11

I work in the Business Tax department of the Guildford office of a national accountancy firm. The office is about 120 strong and the business tax department numbers 11. Three of us in the business tax department have the same birthday, with ages varying between 30 and 59.

American Civil War

I have an interest in history in general, and in pursuit of this I purchased a book called ""The Civil War- an Illustrated History", about the American Civil War 1861-1865. The book has 425 pages. One evening in the summer of 1995, my partner and I were at home. I was reading my civil war book, but to be honest I can't remember what she was doing. Each week in those days a man used to drive into our street with a boot full of videos to hire. We usually took something each week as we were, and are great movie fans. It was Gill's turn to go to the car, and before she went she asked me what type of movie I fancied. I said, "get me a war movie if you can". As she returned with her selection I was reading page 248 of my book, specifically an account of the six hundred members of the first volunteer black regiment in the Union army, (54th Massachusets), and their assault on Fort Wagner. 246 of the troops were killed in the assault.This account took up only half of page 248. She handed me a movie which I had never heard of, called "Glory".

Seeing Dave Sexton

I was sitting on the Heathrow Express (don't know if it was called that back then) at about lunchtime Monday 10 September 1979. I was very excited - it was not long after my 21st birthday and that very morning I'd managed to get a standby BA ticket to New York - my first ever visit - my first ever flight. I was relaxing into the idea that I was at last going to meet my family in America. My rucksack was too heavy - as I relaxed I realised someone must have added stuff. I began to open up the bag and search, reaching down deep where I detected unfamiliar lumpy shapes that I'd been ignoring all day. I pulled out a thick bendy book about Manchester United - like an oversize fanzine - I showed it to my friend who was travelling to America with me and her brother who like my own brother was a massive Man Utd fan. Her brother had met us, on his return journey from Europe and was escorting us to Heathrow to see us off on the big adventure. We laughed at my brother's joke - he wanted to sneak items over to America for our cousins. I began rifling through the book - there was a profile of the then manager, Dave Sexton.

Motorway coffee break

I had agreed to meet my boss at Toddington Motorway Services for a brief consultation, as we were both travelling on the motorway but in opposite directions. Arriving at the services I was walking past the games area and, galncing in, spotted my son playing one of the machines. My son was in the army and was off to Yorkshire on a training course, along with several colleagues. The driver of their mini bus had chosen that location to take his rest break. What are the chances of that?

Meeting sister coincidence

I live near Birmingham my sister at the time lived in Belgium. I had recently started a new job which required me to travel to London which I'd not done before. On one of my first trips on arriving at Euston I needed to take the underground but I mistakenly took the undground train in the wrong direction so got off the train and waited on the platform for the next train. Whilst waiting for the train I spotted my sister on the same platfrom. she had flown over from Belgium and was in London for a business meeting that day. Neither of us knew we would be in the same country let alone standing on the same platform. If I hadn't took the wrong train we'd have missed each other.

death

I was an assistant at a school in France in 1967. On Whit Saturday I was at a party in Paris with a nuber of student teachers. A violent thunderstorm disrupted the evening, electricity was cut and it was 11pm before we sat down to eat. Someone had had to leave and we were 13 to sit down; the superstitious host said someone was in for some bad luck and insisted on having an empty 14th chair. The following Wednesday - the post was fast in those days, I received a letter from my mother to say that my grandfather had died in the night; she suggested I did not return home as I would not be able to make it in time for the funeral. As this was my first family bereavement I chose to go back to North Wales, travelling overnight and getting there early afternoon. I went to my grandfather's shop expecting to find my family there - it was closed. When I reached the house the whole family was gathered for the funeral - a double funeral, as my grandmother had died later on Whit Sunday unaware that her husband had passed away earlier in the day. A telephone would probably have made life easier but it would not have altered the timings of the events.

Strangers on a train ....

I was traveling up north from London on the East Coast Mainline. There was a young woman sitting opposite me and we had got chatting. She was a student, and just before our journey was about to end, I asked her if, since my car was in the station's car park, I could drop her off anywhere conveniently. She explained that she was changing to another local train and her father was collecting her at the end of that second train journey, but she told me that she had been born and brought up somwhere in the middle of my route. It proved to be the house in the countryside that I had just only recently purchased. She described the exact position of what had been her bedroom. It was the room I intended to use as my study. She told me of a mini but potentially great disaster that had occurred in that room when she was a child. She had, without noticing, knocked over a radiant-type electric fire which had quietly burnt its way face-down through the linoleum. No one was hurt but the memory persisted.

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