Winning bet
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understandinguncertainty.org was produced by the Winton programme for the public understanding of risk based in the Statistical Laboratory in the University of Cambridge. The aim was to help improve the way that uncertainty and risk are discussed in society, and show how probability and statistics can be both useful and entertaining.
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I was at home, sitting at my PC selecting racehorses on which to place my daily bets when the phone rang. It was my daughter who lives about 80 miles away. She wanted to know the surname of neighbours of ours who had been kind enough to send her some gifts on the births of her twin boys.
I told her that it was "M****n" and we chatted for a while before I got back to the job in hand of selecting my bets. Imagine my surprise when I spotted a horse called M****n, exactly the same as my neighbour's surname, listed as a runner. It was an outsider, about 25/1 if I remember correctly.
Well I couldn't resist it, a modest £5 each way and, yes you guessed it, it won! My daughter was pleased with the bottle of wine she got for providing the tip.
Date submitted:Thu, 29 Mar 2012 19:24:04 +0000Coincidence ID:6188
