Unlikely Meeting
As of the 23rd May 2022 this website is archived and will receive no further updates.
understandinguncertainty.org was produced by the Winton programme for the public understanding of risk based in the Statistical Laboratory in the University of Cambridge. The aim was to help improve the way that uncertainty and risk are discussed in society, and show how probability and statistics can be both useful and entertaining.
Many of the animations were produced using Flash and will no longer work.
In 1971 I went on holiday with a group to Switzerland. We had the afternoon in Berne before catching our train home. A small group of us went into a baker's shop in a back street to buy some food for the journey home. We asked if they served tea since there were one or two tables and received an affirmative response. Shortly afterwards another group came in. We made room for them and a couple sat at my table. To my amazement they lived in the next road with the gardens backing on just a few houses down. There was no common reason for us both to be there and it could have been anyone in the world who might visit Switzerland. It was not like passing someone in the street, they were actually sitting opposite me at the table!
Having had numerous other extremely low probability coincidences and heard of many more I asked a professor of mathematics about this. The only explanation I could get was that there were all the other things that did not happen. There are of course all the things that did happen but you did not know about.
Date submitted:Fri, 19 Oct 2012 15:34:41 +0000Coincidence ID:6558