Unhappy coincidences

As of the 23rd May 2022 this website is archived and will receive no further updates.

understandinguncertainty.org was produced by the Winton programme for the public understanding of risk based in the Statistical Laboratory in the University of Cambridge. The aim was to help improve the way that uncertainty and risk are discussed in society, and show how probability and statistics can be both useful and entertaining.

Many of the animations were produced using Flash and will no longer work.

I had worked in the mining industry for about two years before deciding to study for a chemistry degree. On graduating, I got temporary work with a former employer. This was supposed to be for six months but it lasted longer. Realising it would not be permanent, I applied for another position with a mining company and was interviewed by a man I will call Mr. Bennett. He told me I was overqualified for that particular position but believed there would be an opening in a month or so. Several weeks later I arrived home one Friday evening to find a message to call Mr. Bennett on Monday. During the weekend there was a cloudburst near the mine and a man had been drowned when his vehicle was swept off a causeway. His name was not mentioned on the news. You can probably guess the rest of the story. I phoned the mine on the Monday morning and asked for Mr. Bennett. "Do you think this is some kind of joke?" was the angry answer. "What? No!". I explained the situation and was told that he had been drowned on the Saturday. I heard no more of the job. About 14 years later, I phoned someone I didn't know in a nearly town only to be told he had died two days before.
Total votes: 412
Date submitted:Sun, 11 Sep 2016 07:47:05 +0000Coincidence ID:8872