Undelivered parcel

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understandinguncertainty.org was produced by the Winton programme for the public understanding of risk based in the Statistical Laboratory in the University of Cambridge. The aim was to help improve the way that uncertainty and risk are discussed in society, and show how probability and statistics can be both useful and entertaining.

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We had been waiting for a parcel to be delivered to our remote address in the far north of Caithness. We wanted it for Christmas but it never arrived. On Jan 5th this year I had a doctor's appointment and was the only person in the waiting room when a man emerged from the dispensary and asked me to confirm my name. I did and he said 'well then I have a parcel for you' I was rather taken aback by this as I had never seen this man before and he said 'the lady behind the counter told me who you were and where you lived but I have no idea how to get there! It turned out he was a replacement for our usual courier whom was on holiday for the Xmas period and this was his first time in the area! I said without this chance meeting I doubt you would have found us before midday! My doctor was astounded when I related the story.
Total votes: 241
Date submitted:Sat, 14 Jan 2012 15:47:13 +0000Coincidence ID:4141