The Truck, the Date and the Brother-In-Law

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understandinguncertainty.org was produced by the Winton programme for the public understanding of risk based in the Statistical Laboratory in the University of Cambridge. The aim was to help improve the way that uncertainty and risk are discussed in society, and show how probability and statistics can be both useful and entertaining.

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Happened yesterday. Awhile back I set up a blind date for my brother-in-law, who is a truck driver, with a colleague. The one date they had fizzled and that was that. Two years later (yesterday) I was walking to lunch with the colleague-cum-date, and as we approached a zebra crossing we stopped to allow a truck to pass by. However the truck stopped for us - it was driven by no other than the brother-in-law! What are the odds for that? This happened in Israel, on a small side-road entering a kibbutz and a small industrial park. It's basically a dead-end road. There are about "The available figure for 2010 is 272 passenger cars per 1000 Israelis." - http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/IS.VEH.PCAR.P3 Israel's population is about 8 million.
Total votes: 302
Date submitted:Wed, 05 Mar 2014 10:00:11 +0000Coincidence ID:7487