Summoned up storm!

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understandinguncertainty.org was produced by the Winton programme for the public understanding of risk based in the Statistical Laboratory in the University of Cambridge. The aim was to help improve the way that uncertainty and risk are discussed in society, and show how probability and statistics can be both useful and entertaining.

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Myself and husband, 18 month old son and brother in law went to Rudyard lake for the day because it was a beautiful Summer's day. We were out on the boating lake laughing and joking when I remarked how amazing it would be f it were to suddenly get stormy and we were to be stuck on the lake. Almost imediately a storm got up and we had to row to the edge and hang on while the man who owned the boating lake came out to rescue us. It was very amusing to us, but it made me think. Someone suggested that I might have somehow picked up that the weather was about to change, but it was only because it was such a hot and sunny day and that the idea seemed so unlikely that I said it.
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Date submitted:Fri, 16 Oct 2015 20:41:53 +0000Coincidence ID:8263