Stephen Grieve
As of the 23rd May 2022 this website is archived and will receive no further updates.
understandinguncertainty.org was produced by the Winton programme for the public understanding of risk based in the Statistical Laboratory in the University of Cambridge. The aim was to help improve the way that uncertainty and risk are discussed in society, and show how probability and statistics can be both useful and entertaining.
Many of the animations were produced using Flash and will no longer work.
I can recall (could hardly forget) two examples possibly worthy of reporting.
1. Last year at work (a hospital with I think 2,000+ employees), I found an identity swipe card in a corridor. I telephoned the lady in question and arranged to meet midway between our bases. When I handed it over, she remarked that she too had just found a swipe card, and recalled aloud a name that sounded so much like mine that I checked the clip-on card carrier in my pocket. It was empty, and the card she had left in the post room was indeed mine.
She works in the EEG department, and I in Clinical Coding. We did not know each other, but I do know and have known a colleague and former colleague of hers, having worked in the EEG field myself (did VERs for Peter Fenwick in 1977).
2. In 1974 or '75, one evening, I thought to try an ESP experiment. I took a pack of playing cards and placed one, facing away from me, against my forehead with eyes closed, and predicted, getting it wrong. It was the King of Clubs. I replaced the card, shuffled, and repeated. I was wrong again, but again it was the King of Clubs. Appropriately surprised, I repeated the procedure, with an identical result. Appropriately shaken, I shuffled once more, and during this a card fell out: King of Clubs. I made no more attempts.
The following day was the first of the flat racing season. In those days I was interested in horse racing, and though I had no betting interest on this occasion, I glanced at the Doncaster results on the day following that. One of the winners was King of Clubs, at 4-1. This racing result is certainly verifiable, though for some reason it has proved too tedious today per Google.
I am a scientist by education (my degree was in botany), though I am not a 'scientific materialist'. My attitude to such occurrences is that something or someone, somewhere and/or on whatever level, is having a laugh.
Date submitted:Sat, 14 Jan 2012 17:06:25 +0000Coincidence ID:4199
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