The postcard

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understandinguncertainty.org was produced by the Winton programme for the public understanding of risk based in the Statistical Laboratory in the University of Cambridge. The aim was to help improve the way that uncertainty and risk are discussed in society, and show how probability and statistics can be both useful and entertaining.

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In 1976 while working in Pakistan, I met a girl called Gilly S. who was the daughter of a collegue of mine. Two years later, after I had I left Pakistan and the Company, while visiting a friend in Italy, I saw that he was using as a bookmark a postcard addressed to the same girl. He had never been near Pakistan; had no idea who the girl was; or how the postcard had ended up in his book. Nonethless he made me remark that the postcard had been with him for at least five years as it showed an handwritten annotation relating an event that both he and I knew had occurred in Italy five years before.
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Date submitted:Tue, 18 Nov 2014 10:21:32 +0000Coincidence ID:7901