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understandinguncertainty.org was produced by the Winton programme for the public understanding of risk based in the Statistical Laboratory in the University of Cambridge. The aim was to help improve the way that uncertainty and risk are discussed in society, and show how probability and statistics can be both useful and entertaining.

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When I was about 12, I read in my parents' paper that the most common cause of death to pedestrians in road accidents was not the impact with a vehicle but the head on the road surface when falling. I thought the answer would be to avoid hitting the road by jumping up & hanging no. For years, I would look at cars etc & decide where I could grab if I jumped. (trolleybuses were a problem as they had a flat front, but I thought I could hang on to the window rail just above the driver's head). Some 5 or 6 years later,, I was caught (on the B158) in the dark behind a car as another car ran into the back: I saw the headlights coming & instinctively jumped, landing on the bonnet of the oncoming vehicle, sliding up to the widscreen, much to the surprise of the lady driving. I kept my legs: there is an irony now in that I have had a stroke & virtually lost their use, but have had 50 years activity.
Total votes: 155
Date submitted:Thu, 19 Jan 2012 09:56:11 +0000Coincidence ID:5536