Men meeting on a beach

As of the 23rd May 2022 this website is archived and will receive no further updates.

understandinguncertainty.org was produced by the Winton programme for the public understanding of risk based in the Statistical Laboratory in the University of Cambridge. The aim was to help improve the way that uncertainty and risk are discussed in society, and show how probability and statistics can be both useful and entertaining.

Many of the animations were produced using Flash and will no longer work.

Several summers ago, in north western Scotland, we were on Clashnessie beach. This being in Sutherland, there was no-one else there. We only went to this beach once that summer. We saw a man walking across the sand, looking very purposeful, not looking at us. My partner John said something like "that's David, what is he doing here?!" He then went across to him and chatted. It transpired that David used to work with John in Cambridge up until a year before, had then left that job and decided to walk around the whole of the coast of the British Isles, with girlfriend following in the "backup" vehicle - a VW campervan. John had been unaware of all this. David had that day been making his way around that particular bit of the Stoer penisular, north of Lochinver, during the few hours when we also happened to be there.
Total votes: 313
Date submitted:Thu, 27 Feb 2014 21:47:41 +0000Coincidence ID:7476