Island encounters
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understandinguncertainty.org was produced by the Winton programme for the public understanding of risk based in the Statistical Laboratory in the University of Cambridge. The aim was to help improve the way that uncertainty and risk are discussed in society, and show how probability and statistics can be both useful and entertaining.
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My wife and I spent a fortnight's holiday on the Italian island of Ischia in the Gulf of Naples in May 2008. Less than a month later we spent a week on Mainland Orkney. One very rainy afternoon we were in Kirkwall, about to drive away from a car park, my wife spotted someone getting out of a nearby car. Despite the rain and hooded anorak she was convinced that she recognised her as the lady who had sat at a neghbouring table in the dining room at our Ischian hotel. I was sceptical but decided it was too good an opportunity to miss so asked whether she had stayed at the Villa Durrueli a fortnight earlier. She confirmed that she had indeed been there, and remembered speaking to us. Following a brief chat we went our separate ways, not quite believing what had just happened.
Date submitted:Tue, 25 Jun 2013 22:18:27 +0000Coincidence ID:7104
