House fire
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understandinguncertainty.org was produced by the Winton programme for the public understanding of risk based in the Statistical Laboratory in the University of Cambridge. The aim was to help improve the way that uncertainty and risk are discussed in society, and show how probability and statistics can be both useful and entertaining.
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About 50 years ago when we lived in London we had a house fire and our bedroom was destroyed. Exactly a year later I was dusting the telephone and thinking 'This time last year I was phoning the Fire Brigade' when the phone rang. It was the Fire Brigade, saying a boy had just phoned to report a fire at our house. Our sons were still babies and in their cots and despite my protestations that we had no fire the Brigade sent two appliances to make sure. A coincidence? I still have an eerie feeling about it!
Date submitted:Sat, 14 Jan 2012 15:13:25 +0000Coincidence ID:4110
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