football results
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understandinguncertainty.org was produced by the Winton programme for the public understanding of risk based in the Statistical Laboratory in the University of Cambridge. The aim was to help improve the way that uncertainty and risk are discussed in society, and show how probability and statistics can be both useful and entertaining.
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In september1950 i was coming to the end of a long spell in Shotley Bridge hospital in county Durham.A male charge nurse called Barlow organised a sweepstake in the hospital based on the team that scored the most goals in the 4 english leagues.The entry fee was one shilling.When he approached me I said that I would subscribe provided I did not draw Aston Villa.I have no idea why I said that.When the draw was made, I drew Aston Villa.Miraculously a few days later on the first saturday of the season I won the pool as they scored 6,7 or 8 goals-I forget.Anyhow as an impoverished student I was rich.I forget how many teams were in each league in those days-maybe 24.In that case the 3 stages of coincidence seem to add up to pretty long odds.Incidentally the nurse Barlow was later convicted for murder using insulin-I think.At one time he had been in prison for around 30 years,longer than any other current guest of Her Majesty.
Date submitted:Sun, 15 Jan 2012 16:52:52 +0000Coincidence ID:4756
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