Falling light bulb
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understandinguncertainty.org was produced by the Winton programme for the public understanding of risk based in the Statistical Laboratory in the University of Cambridge. The aim was to help improve the way that uncertainty and risk are discussed in society, and show how probability and statistics can be both useful and entertaining.
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In 1969 I attended a residential training centre in Hindhead, Surrey where I spent 5 weeks learning how to be an instructor. My accommodation was a single bedroom within the training centre, a large house, probably 19th century.
Waking one morning, I lay in bed staring at the ceiling waiting for the impetus to get up. The ceiling light fitting was the usual pendant lamp with a shade. As I looked at it, the bulb fell from its bayonet-type holder and landed on the rug below. There had been no previous problems with the light and I certainly hadn’t interfered with it. Once I had replaced the bulb in its fitting, it remained there for the rest of my time at Hindhead.
For a bulb holder to fail is probably rare and the chances of a poorly fitted bulb staying in place for any length of time is also unlikely. For one or other of these to occur during a brief interlude when I happened to be looking in the right direction seems to be an extraordinary coincidence. If only I could achieve an equally extraordinary coincidence when filling out my lottery ticket.
Date submitted:Sat, 14 Jan 2012 13:51:04 +0000Coincidence ID:4049
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