Chilli Farm Cottage

As of the 23rd May 2022 this website is archived and will receive no further updates.

understandinguncertainty.org was produced by the Winton programme for the public understanding of risk based in the Statistical Laboratory in the University of Cambridge. The aim was to help improve the way that uncertainty and risk are discussed in society, and show how probability and statistics can be both useful and entertaining.

Many of the animations were produced using Flash and will no longer work.

A couple of years ago, I sold a PC game on eBay, and when I went to send it, I wrote the name and address of the buyer that eBay told me on the envelope and posted it. I remembered the address, because it was 'Chilli Farm Cottage'. At the time, I was working as a consultant at DVLA in Swansea. The next day, I was watching someone type in batches of vehicle tax changes of address. Each batch contained 100 names and addresses. In the middle of the batch, up on the screen came the same name and address - 'Chilli Farm Cottage'! What are the chances of that? It may help to knew that there are 34 million registered vehicles in the UK.
Total votes: 256
Date submitted:Tue, 18 Jun 2013 21:04:02 +0000Coincidence ID:7026