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As of the 23rd May 2022 this website is archived and will receive no further updates.

understandinguncertainty.org was produced by the Winton programme for the public understanding of risk based in the Statistical Laboratory in the University of Cambridge. The aim was to help improve the way that uncertainty and risk are discussed in society, and show how probability and statistics can be both useful and entertaining.

Many of the animations were produced using Flash and will no longer work.

Recently I cleared the breakfast things onto a tray, carried it to the larder and dropped it, breaking a jar of honey. While clearing up the honey the phone rang. It was my mother (aged 91) requesting a doctor as a minute earlier she had had blacked out while eating, knocking her tray of breakfast things to the floor.
Total votes: 319
Date submitted:Sat, 14 Jan 2012 11:09:20 +0000Coincidence ID:3908

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In 1975 I stood at the bottom of Ayers Rock in Australia. Two people came up to me and chatted. They turned out to have emigrated to Australia from England several years previously and had lived in England in a house in Romford, Essex overlooking the children's playground in the park where I'd played as a child.