Cambridge Coincidences Collection

As of the 23rd May 2022 this website is archived and will receive no further updates.

understandinguncertainty.org was produced by the Winton programme for the public understanding of risk based in the Statistical Laboratory in the University of Cambridge. The aim was to help improve the way that uncertainty and risk are discussed in society, and show how probability and statistics can be both useful and entertaining.

Many of the animations were produced using Flash and will no longer work.

Well I Never!

Professor David Spiegelhalter of Cambridge University wants to know about your coincidences!

Birthday and more

My partner and I met online. When we decided to meet up for a dog walk we decided to talk on the phone and after some time she expressed surprise that I had a southern accent (she thought I was from the North). By the end of the conversation we had discovered the following coincidences: Both born in Aldershot, on 16th March 1971. Both in the Princess Louise Margaret Maternity Hospital. Both our father's were in 3rd Battalion Parachute regiment, and both had met our mothers whilst posted to Malta. Both mothers are non-English (her's Maltese, mine American). We had both lived in Reading and Milton Keynes and had connections to Leiden in the Netherlands. And when we met we both were driving Fiat Puntos. I think this is probably not as unlikely as it seems, but she thinks we have been brought together by fate.

double booking

What are the chances of being double-booked into a sleeper cabin on the Aberdeen-London Euston Caledonian Express on a Wednesday night in January? Just this week, this happened to me, presumably as a result of a computer error. I have travelled on this sleeper on various weeknights, quite a number of times over the last few years, and I have never been double-booked before. What is most remarkable however, is that the person that I was double-booked with is someone that I know professionally. The population of the region is less than 500,000, and only a very small subset of that number is likely to travel on the sleeper train. I would love to know what the probability of this event is?

Yosemite Valley.

I worked in a Distict General Hospital In Rhyl North Wales as a Staff Nurse and was on holiday with friends in 2004 visiting the Yosemite National Park, U.S.A and were 6000 miles away from home.We had driven through the Park and were at the valley floor near the Visitors Cente when we bumped onto a Surgeon who worked at the same Hospital as myself. There were hundreds of people there as you can imagine so thought the chances of actually seeing anyone from home pretty random. Not only that ,we found out he was staying at the same hotel as us . !!!

Childhood acquaintance

About 12 years ago, I was invited with my then husband and child to a barbecue, in a very rural part of Perthshire. Although I have lived in Scotland for many years, I am actually from the south of England. I didn't know the people holding the barbecue, but was invited by a mutual friend. Also at the barbecue was the mutual friend's sister, with her husband and children. Whilst talking to them, I learned that although they were Scottish, they lived in the south of England because he was in the Navy. We were talking in a group for some time, when I started to think I had met the husband before, and we were about the same age. We couldn't think of any place, such as university, that it could have been, and the conversation moved on. However, later when we were talking about his career in the Navy, I mentioned that my uncle had been in the Navy, stationed in Dartmouth, Devon. At this point, he asked my uncle's name. His father had also been in the Navy, at Dartmouth. His family and my uncle and family had lived next door to one another! We had in fact met before - about 25-30 years ago as children, when I had stayed with my cousins during school holidays!

needle in York Railway Museum!!!!!

I live in North Wales and have a cousin who lives in York. We send Christmas cards to each other but the last time I actually saw him was at our daughter's wedding 8 years ago. Last October during the school half-term holiday we were visiting my son who lives in Hull and we took my grandson to the Railway Museum in York for the day. Whilst we were there my husband and myself sat on a bench looking at some trains whilst our grandson went exploring. We sat next to an Information desk with a gentleman sitting there reading some leaflets and he had his head down. I went to get some information only to find m yself face to face with my cousin Jeff !! He was doing voluntary work there and the only day he was there was on a Thursday which was the day we were there !

A book goes on a round the world trip

In 2002 during a trip to Sydney, Australia from the UK, I visited a secondhand bookshop in Cronulla. The owner asked me what sort of books I was looking for and what I had read recently. I mentioned The God of Small Things by Arundhati Roy as a book I had recently enjoyed. The owner went straight to a shelf and pulled out A Fine Balance by Rohinton Mistry and having read the blurb I went ahead and bought it. About a third of the way through I came across a boarding pass and was surprised to find a familiar name on it, my sister's initial and surname. At first I just thought this was a minor coincidence of someone with a similar name, but when I looked more closely I saw that the outgoing airport in the UK and the destination in Turkey fitted with a trip my sister had been on. When I got back to the UK I asked her if she had read the aforementioned book without mentioning any other details. She said yes, she had taken it on holiday to Turkey but never finished it as she wasn't enjoying it. She then left it behind....

MOUSE MATES

I have been corresponding with a mouse mate in Leeds for over 10 years. We have never swapped addresses - I just know he lives in Leeds and he knows I live in North London. About 6 years ago he emailed to say he had been in London for the weekend to visit an aunt. She was unwell and he had come to London in an emergency, so had not thought/had time to contact me to try to meet up (we have never met). But he did email me a photo of himself standing outside the block of flats where his aunt lives. It is the block opposite my house, and he also had a photo of himself taken from the opposite side of the road - so he had a photo of himself standing outside my house

SINGAPORE SLING

In 1986 we spent several weeks in the Far East including 3 weeks touring China (before the fall of Communism!). For the return trip, I had booked two nights at the Singapore Hilton - to get a hot bath and relax, and because the lobby had 80 shops. On arrival, my husband suggested I wait with the cases whilst he joined the queue at reception to check us in. Of course, having been starved of shops for 3 weeks, I said I did not want to wait with the cases, and was going shopping!. He as "very keen" for me to stand and wait with the cases and I told him that it was foolish to leave me there as I was bound to see someone I knew. He told me not to be ridiculous - we were in the middle of Singapore. So I waited with the cases. Within two minutes, a lady (now deceased) who I knew from a charity group I belonged to walked past and asked me why I was standing with cases when there were 80 shops in the lobby! I left the cases, we went for a coffee and a look around the shops. Well, I had told him that I always meet someone I know! PS We divorced three years later, but I don't think that was the reason.

WHEN IN ROME

In the mid 1980's we were invited to a party by my husband's second cousins, whom I have never met. I did not want to go and the deal was that I would have a new outfit! I bought a red dress and a few weeks later, on a week long trip to Rome, as well as sightseeing, I looked in virtually every shoe shop for matching shoes. Finally, in desperation, my husband lost patience. I was looking in yet another shop and said to him"well, if I don't get shoes, then I am not going to the party". "Tell them yourself" he said - the cousins were looking in the same window for shoes for the same event.

WEDDING COINCIDENCE

My husband and I have a very unusual Dutch-based surname. All the people in the UK with the same surname are related to us except one man. In 1974 we went to the Registry Office in Central London to register our forthcoming wedding. Whilst waiting we were chatting to another couple in the waiting room. It transpired they were to be married on the same day as us and at the same time - 4.30pm 22nd September 1974. When the Registrar came and called out our name - we stood up, and so did they! It was the "unrelated" gentleman and his bride to be.

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