Cambridge Coincidences Collection

As of the 23rd May 2022 this website is archived and will receive no further updates.

understandinguncertainty.org was produced by the Winton programme for the public understanding of risk based in the Statistical Laboratory in the University of Cambridge. The aim was to help improve the way that uncertainty and risk are discussed in society, and show how probability and statistics can be both useful and entertaining.

Many of the animations were produced using Flash and will no longer work.

Well I Never!

Professor David Spiegelhalter of Cambridge University wants to know about your coincidences!

William Faulkner cribs the family tree

When I was in high school in New York, my favorite book was The Sound and the Fury, William Faulkner's Nobel Prize winning novel about a disintegrating Southern family. Twenty years later, I married a Southern man and moved to Alabama. My husband often told me about his father's side of the family who had lived in Tennessee. The story was colorful and sad. His great grandmother, Mamaw, was left widowed with six young children after her husband was shot by a neighbor in a border dispute over one of his five farms. A sepia toned photo of Mamaw and her children, all smiling grimly in their Sunday best, hangs in our den. Before the children were grown, the money was gone, and the once proud family declined with alcoholism, bootlegging, gambling, bribery, murder, and incest just like the families in Faulkner's books. Ten years ago, my husband's cousin who dabbled in genealogy, discovered we might be related to William Faulkner's mother through Mamaw. Both women shared the same maiden name, Butler, and they had lived in the same small Mississippi town at the same time.

On a Bench in Florence

In the summer of 1988 I was living in New York City and had decided (several years prior, during a brief visit to Italy) that I wanted to live in Florence for an extended period after college. The time had come to make good on this promise to myself. I was working in my field and studying Italian in NYC, participating in language exchanges with native Italian speakers, who were attending a program at Columbia University. I met one, Yvonne, who was a blond model of Swiss origin, from the Italian speaking quarter of Ticino. We spoke regularly and she promised that if I went to visit or live in Italy that I should contact her once she was back home in Ticino, Switzerland. Months passed and she disappeared without a trace, leaving me with no contact details. I signed up for an Italian language program in Florence starting in January of '89. I’d be travelling alone. I didn’t know anyone in Florence, Italy. I had lived and studied in Paris in 1986, as an F.I.T. college exchange student, so I wanted to stop in Paris en route to Florence. I stayed with a friend, Robert, one night while in Paris. Then I boarded the train for the solo trip to Italy.

saw a friend when i needed her

My boss and I were supposed to drive around to a bunch of schools in North Philly, an area that I don't frequent. I had taken the subway there and my boss was supposed to pick me up so we could drive around to these schools. She called me and as we were on the phone, she got in an accident. She was fine but told me she couldn't drive and I would have to visit the schools alone. Fine, but I wasn't sure how to do that since I had no transportation. I figured out that I could take a bus to the first school, so I was waiting at the bus stop when at that very moment I saw a friend drive by in her car on her way to med school. Literally the only person I know in the world who would have reason to be in that area AND she had a car! I called her, told her I just saw her drive by, and asked if I could borrow her car for the day. Dropped her off at med school, got to all of the schools I needed to visit, and got the car back just after her classes ended so I could buy her a drink to say thanks! But mostly, I was thanking the universe!

Annie Lennox prediction

This happened in the early nineties of last century. I am Portuguese from Lisbon. I was a regular visitor to London. This time I was with my wife and teenage daugther for a consultation with an otorrinologist. We went for lunch at Portobello Road. We saw a nice corner restaurant and decided for it. I jokingly said to my daughter these exact words: in a few minutes Annie Lennox, the Eurythmics lead singer, will come into the restaurant through that door. It thought that it would be a totally improbable occurence but it was a nice thought as my daugther was a fan and this looked like a place artists would use. A few minutes later Annie Lennox enters the restaurant with a friend and a child. We were petrified. After the shock my daughter asked Lennox for an autograph. She oviously lived nearby and must have been a regular at the restaurant but I didn't know about it.

"Flotsam and jetsam" or " no sex on the beach"

In the early nineties I was on a surf trip in Costa Rica, traveling from jaco up the pacific coast to tamarindo. We decided to take the old Tempisque ferry above Punta Arenas rather than drive the then dusty roads inland, around, and then back down the Nicoya peninsula. Doesn't matter. Or does it? Anyway, upon landing on the other side we hit the cantina for essentials and met some surfers heading back the other way. Got to talking and it turned out they were from New York . Hey, I'm from New York! Really? What part? The city. Oh, we're from Montauk. Do you know so and so? Why, yes! Friend of a friend of a friend.<br /> Okay, no big deal. Lotta surfers in New York travel to C.R. Montauk is, or was, a small town and their surfing community is somewhat insular. One of them, Kathryn, was quite striking and I immediately fell in love. She was either not aware or unimpressed. Then she left.<br /> Cut to:<br /> Two years later...different beach, same country. Out surfing with a handful of guys in the water, some of whom were ogling a rather attractive young lady surfing nearby. Did I mention she was topless? She was....and she was Kathryn.

Coincidence over time

While being assisted by a psychologist through a difficult marriage breakup, the psychologist recommended a book to me about 'Provocative Therapy," Dr Farrely - he said I would be good at it. The same guy helped a new lady friend also going through a difficult breakup. I ended up marrying her. Many years later, with the advent of internet, she befriended an Astrologer in USA. Meantime, we both achieved arts degrees. I featured some prominent q. physicists and a biologist, Dr Bruce Lipton in a piece of art. Turns out that my wife's astrologer friend, studied with Farrely and Lipton, and nearly married Lipton. AND Lipton shorty after arrived in New Zealand of all places to give a talk at which I attended and he came to my house to discuss my art. :-) Thanks Alan MacDonald

Hitchhiking, 1980

Back in 1980, after leaving high school, a friend and I decided we wanted to spend a few months ravelling around the US. We had very little money and thought thta hitchhiking would be a great way of travelling on the cheap. My parents must have been utterly terrified at the thought of what could happen to us, and just a few days before we were due to fly out, they went to a dinner party where they met an American couple who were over the UK for a short working visit. The wife said she had friends all over the US who would be happy to give us a bed for the night and a few days later she brought my mother a little notebook of addresses and phone numbers. We took this with us on our journey, but to be honest it seemed a bit awkward just phoning people we'd never met and telling them an old friend of theirs had given their details to someone they had just met at a dinner party and said it would be OK to come and stay.

2 Layoffs, 1 Date

On June 21, 2011, I was unfortunately laid off from my job as a newspaper editor, where I had worked for 8 years. After six months of job hunting, I landed a position as a marketing manager. I worked there for a year and a half, until exactly two years later, on June 21, 2013, when I was again laid off. Each of the back-to-back layoffs were heartbreaking in their own rights, but the coincidence of losing the second job on the same date loomed over me for years. Both years, that date was also the summer solstice, for what that's worth. June 21 will always be significant to me now, especially in odd-numbered years. In fact, I was very anxious leading up to June 21, 2015, but I was spared a third dose of this unwelcome coincidence. (In all fairness to probability laws, in 2015 the date fell on a Sunday!)

Old flame ignites two stunning coincidences in one day

When I was in college in New York in the early 70s, I dated a medical student for a couple of months, but I broke it off because the love of my life didn't love me. In the college dining room, I sometimes discussed the breakup with my best friend Lois -- the same woman who 20 years later attended my small, San Francisco wedding to a different man and even took the wedding photos. A couple of years later after my husband and I divorced, I told my friend I had hired a detective who had located my old college love who was now living in Los Angeles just 500 miles away. I also told my best friend from work and she told me about her old college flame and how she would do anything to reconnect with him, too. Six months later, my old flame and I reconnected in Los Angeles. We drove across town to a museum, which neither of us had ever been to and then headed to a nearby restaurant. After the hostess seated us, my old flame asked a complete stranger sitting at the next table, what she was eating. The woman replied and then turned to me and said "I'm surprised to see you here." I had no idea who she was.

The Answer's Always Right In Front Of You

One afternoon, I was trying to remember the word often used to describe a fluctuating economy. I pulled out a thesaurus and looked up the word 'fluctuate,' I read the Wikipedia article on 'economics,' I tried to find newspaper articles; surprisingly, none of these sources employed the word I was trying to remember. The following morning--not 24 hours later--I walked into the kitchen to find a shoebox from a shoe company called Volatile. I could not believe that I received the answer to my question in the most unusual of ways, and in such a quick time frame!

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