Given enough opportunities for something unlikely to happen, it's very likely that it will. David Spiegelhalter demonstrates this using a simple number matching game. There is further reading on our Coincidences thread where you can also play with the animation directly.

The UK National Lottery

iconFor 9 years, ball 38 was the most frequently drawn number, but what does this mean? In this video David Spiegelhalter takes a look at the data. There's further reading on this on our National Lottery pages where you can also play with the animations directly.

A selection from YouTube

Here's a selection from Youtube on uncertainty and risk, serious and not-serious. Please send us links to any others you would recommend.

The Winton Lecture

David giving the Winton lecture at Imperial.

Peter Donnelly: How juries are fooled by statistics

Peter Donnelly FRS FMedSci, Professor of Statistical Science (Dept Statistics) & Director of the Wellcome Trust Centre for Human Genetics talks at Ted.

Security Screening

Securit ScreeningOur first YouTube video! This features David using the Screening Tests animation to expound on Screening for Disease and Dishonesty.