Other Kinds of Risk Calculators

As of the 23rd May 2022 this website is archived and will receive no further updates.

understandinguncertainty.org was produced by the Winton programme for the public understanding of risk based in the Statistical Laboratory in the University of Cambridge. The aim was to help improve the way that uncertainty and risk are discussed in society, and show how probability and statistics can be both useful and entertaining.

Many of the animations were produced using Flash and will no longer work.

Other Kinds of Risk Calculators

My Real Age

Through a series of questions, it calculates the age you are according to your health information, not the age you are by your calendar birth. The user needs to know cholesterol information and vitamin supplement quantities in mg or mcg. The results give good indications of your health status, naming what diseases you risk having in the future.

What evidence is used?

Presumably, though this is not explicitly stated, medical evidence, as the questions require knowledge of your medical history. Further investigation of the website reveals a wealth of knowledge and references, for example http://www.realage.com/health_guides/Osteoporosis/topics/content.asp?mem...


The test makes assumptions if you don’t know the answer to questions asked which in turn may skew your results. The user receives recommendations on increasing vitamin intake/decreasing intake of problem foods etc. though for those that need to see the studies behind such recommendations it may take more work.

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Adjuvant Online


What it calculates

The purpose of Adjuvant is to help health professionals and patients with early cancer discuss the risks and benefits of getting additional therapy. It cannot be accessed by those whom are not a medical professional.

What evidence is used?

"Adjuvant! is an evidence based program which had its origins in trying to make information in the San Antonio Data Base more applicable to clinical practice. It draws on information from the SEER data base, the Overviews of clinical trials, individual clinical trial results, and the literature in general. The basic format of an early version of Adjuvant! was described in the article (Ravdin, Siminoff, Davis, et al. JCO 19(4) 980-991, 2001) published on February 15th 2001. It has been widely used as a program directly loaded from CD ROM"


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