WALNUT

As of the 23rd May 2022 this website is archived and will receive no further updates.

understandinguncertainty.org was produced by the Winton programme for the public understanding of risk based in the Statistical Laboratory in the University of Cambridge. The aim was to help improve the way that uncertainty and risk are discussed in society, and show how probability and statistics can be both useful and entertaining.

Many of the animations were produced using Flash and will no longer work.

Opening a Christmas cracker in 1983, the small gift that fell out was a tiny dolly. It looked like a little baby girl. Shortly after, I was cracking a walnut and it broke perfectly in half. I ate the walnut, placed the tiny dolly into the walnut, re-sealed it with Super Glue, and put it back into the large bowl of nuts. Nobody knew that I had done this. A couple of days later a couple were visiting us. The woman chose a walnut from the bowl, cracked it open, and was surprised by what was inside the shell : the tiny dolly. The following week, I received a phone call from that woman, telling me that she had just discovered that she was pregnant. In due course, she had a beautiful baby girl !
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Date submitted:Thu, 16 Feb 2012 10:42:42 +0000Coincidence ID:5995