same road

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understandinguncertainty.org was produced by the Winton programme for the public understanding of risk based in the Statistical Laboratory in the University of Cambridge. The aim was to help improve the way that uncertainty and risk are discussed in society, and show how probability and statistics can be both useful and entertaining.

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My sister was travelling up from Tavistock in Devon to St Albans in Hertfordshire to attend the funeral of our mum in March 2003. The traffic on the M5 came to a halt because of an accident, and many of the drivers got out to stretch their legs. She got talking to the person in the next car, who asked where my sister was heading - her reply to a town near London, 'oh yes, where?', ' Hertfordshire. The person said, 'oh yes, where?', a place called St Albans, 'really, I know St Albans, where abouts in St Albans?' Well it is a little village that you would not have heard of, just on the outskirts of St Albans', 'Oh yes, where', 'A place called St Michaels Village', 'really, I know St Michaels Village', 'what road?' 'it is called Blacksmiths Lane', 'oh really, I know Blacksmiths Lane, where abouts?' Well my mother lived at the end of Blacksmiths Lane, and I am going up to her funeral.' 'Well my uncle is probably going too, because he lives at the other end of Blacksmiths Lane'. Who it transpires we all know, and has lived in his house all his life (he is about 92 now).
Total votes: 146
Date submitted:Mon, 16 Jan 2012 18:15:36 +0000Coincidence ID:5201