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As of the 23rd May 2022 this website is archived and will receive no further updates.

understandinguncertainty.org was produced by the Winton programme for the public understanding of risk based in the Statistical Laboratory in the University of Cambridge. The aim was to help improve the way that uncertainty and risk are discussed in society, and show how probability and statistics can be both useful and entertaining.

Many of the animations were produced using Flash and will no longer work.

In 2004 the Cambrian ARchaeological Association was visiting the Welsh Fusiliers Museum in Caernarfon Castle. My husband, Peter Llewellyn, and I were leaving through the shop in company with Sir Richard Hanbury Tennison. There was a donation box at the exit with a computer screeen just above it running a sequence of names. As we were leaving we were preparing to drop a coin or two into the box. Sir Richard dropped a coin in and immediately his name appeared on the screen above. We feared extraordinary surveillance! We discovered later that the names were those of people who had given exhibits to the museum, which Sir Richard had done some years previously. Our names, needless to say, did not appear when we dropped coins in!
Total votes: 139
Date submitted:Tue, 17 Jan 2012 10:32:19 +0000Coincidence ID:5319