Professor

As of the 23rd May 2022 this website is archived and will receive no further updates.

understandinguncertainty.org was produced by the Winton programme for the public understanding of risk based in the Statistical Laboratory in the University of Cambridge. The aim was to help improve the way that uncertainty and risk are discussed in society, and show how probability and statistics can be both useful and entertaining.

Many of the animations were produced using Flash and will no longer work.

My mind must work in a strange way. One Saturday morning I was thinking that because Gautama Buddha developed a philosophy that was truly revolutionary he was probably much smarter than Jesus. Even today, Buddha's empiricism and scepticism seem very modern. An hour or so after thinking this I entered my local post office and picked up a book of lists, and the compiler obviously had the same idea that I had just had because Buddha's IQ was listed as about 160 (from memory) but Jesus' was about 130. It is a coincidence that I had been thinking of this immediately before coming across the book of lists. Also on a Saturday morning I had done some simple arithmetic and decided that on average a given child would be abducted only once every 200,000 years (probably a longer duration than the existence of modern humans). That morning I entered a local supermarket and read in The Australian newspaper that a child would on average be abducted only once in 200,000 years. Again, it is a coincidence that I had worked out the same result just before I went to the supermarket. But it's possible that child abductions had been in the news, so perhaps it is not so strange.
Total votes: 301
Date submitted:Tue, 08 Jan 2019 06:41:10 +0000Coincidence ID:10171