Mr Mark Greig

As of the 23rd May 2022 this website is archived and will receive no further updates.

understandinguncertainty.org was produced by the Winton programme for the public understanding of risk based in the Statistical Laboratory in the University of Cambridge. The aim was to help improve the way that uncertainty and risk are discussed in society, and show how probability and statistics can be both useful and entertaining.

Many of the animations were produced using Flash and will no longer work.

I I live in Doncaster, I purchased a 1958 VW Beetle, I only purchased it to remove the super rare number plate VLF9. I sold the number plate and then resold the Car. 3 year later I had a VW Golf for sale on eBay, a chap from Nr London called my number and asked about the golf, he asked if he could leave a deposit on the car until he sold his 1962 Vw Beetle , I said that would not be a problem. I then told him that 3 years ago I owned a 1958 Beetle but I only purchased it because I knew the number plate had a value. The chap asked me what the plate was so I told him VLF9, It turned out to be his first ever car he had photos of him next to the car 40 year earlier. When he collected the golf from me I gave him the old number plate I removed from the car, I saved those because they just looked so cool and retro. What were the chance I told a random fella over the phone that I owned that car. And then the chances that fella owned that very same car. This 100% happened
Total votes: 274
Date submitted:Fri, 25 Nov 2016 00:55:03 +0000Coincidence ID:8953