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As of the 23rd May 2022 this website is archived and will receive no further updates.

understandinguncertainty.org was produced by the Winton programme for the public understanding of risk based in the Statistical Laboratory in the University of Cambridge. The aim was to help improve the way that uncertainty and risk are discussed in society, and show how probability and statistics can be both useful and entertaining.

Many of the animations were produced using Flash and will no longer work.

A friend of mine studying economy in another country outside of the UK asked me for help with some Math and after helping her I tried to reassure her about her exam. I told her she would get 25 out of 30. One week later she had texted me saying she got exactly 25/30 and I was surprised. We joked about my ability to predict things and then I said "Well then, next time get 30/30 in your next exam" and she actually did get that. It was surprising.
Total votes: 208
Date submitted:Thu, 09 Feb 2017 20:56:06 +0000Coincidence ID:9005