Fourfold coincidences

As of the 23rd May 2022 this website is archived and will receive no further updates.

understandinguncertainty.org was produced by the Winton programme for the public understanding of risk based in the Statistical Laboratory in the University of Cambridge. The aim was to help improve the way that uncertainty and risk are discussed in society, and show how probability and statistics can be both useful and entertaining.

Many of the animations were produced using Flash and will no longer work.

What is the probability of people experiencing four coincidences: 1. They had taken the same type of food. 2. They died within six months after ingesting the same food. 3. They died with the same symptoms. 4. The food was prepared within the same year and not yet expired.
Total votes: 102
Date submitted:Wed, 06 Apr 2022 16:32:34 +0000Coincidence ID:12725