First day of school

As of the 23rd May 2022 this website is archived and will receive no further updates.

understandinguncertainty.org was produced by the Winton programme for the public understanding of risk based in the Statistical Laboratory in the University of Cambridge. The aim was to help improve the way that uncertainty and risk are discussed in society, and show how probability and statistics can be both useful and entertaining.

Many of the animations were produced using Flash and will no longer work.

On my first day at junior school, aged 4, I became best friends with a boy called Kevin. Over the course of the next few days, we discovered we shared the same birthday. A little later it turned out our mothers also shared the same birthday and further investigation revealed that our fathers and older brothers (both six years older than us) both had birthdays ten days apart from each other. We were inseperable for the next seven years.
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Date submitted:Tue, 17 Jan 2012 09:41:38 +0000Coincidence ID:5307