Family connection

As of the 23rd May 2022 this website is archived and will receive no further updates.

understandinguncertainty.org was produced by the Winton programme for the public understanding of risk based in the Statistical Laboratory in the University of Cambridge. The aim was to help improve the way that uncertainty and risk are discussed in society, and show how probability and statistics can be both useful and entertaining.

Many of the animations were produced using Flash and will no longer work.

In 1973 I travelled with my parents to Waldau in the Black Forest to try to find information about the Fehrenbach family from whom my father descended. We found living, my father's 3rd cousin Eduard Spiegelhalter & his wife Berta, who helped us draw up a rough family tree, & told us that the family business in London had been at 81, Mile End Road, East London. Some months later I decided to start collecting old postcards, & went to a huge postcard fair. There were hundreds of dealers & millions of cards, & I chose just one, for the picture. The following weekend I visited my parents & showed the card to my father , who turned it over to look at the stamp, & said "did you notice the address"? It was addressed to Miss L. Spiegelhalter, 81 Mile End Road! The odds of this happening must be millions to one
Total votes: 229
Date submitted:Wed, 14 Mar 2018 15:39:35 +0000Coincidence ID:9923