Avon Calling!

As of the 23rd May 2022 this website is archived and will receive no further updates.

understandinguncertainty.org was produced by the Winton programme for the public understanding of risk based in the Statistical Laboratory in the University of Cambridge. The aim was to help improve the way that uncertainty and risk are discussed in society, and show how probability and statistics can be both useful and entertaining.

Many of the animations were produced using Flash and will no longer work.

Many years ago, in the middle of an afternoon, I was sitting with my wife and my in laws in their den. My father in law and I often talked about investments and the stock market. We were talking about various companies and, somehow, the discussion turned to the merits of Avon Products as a possible investment. Upon hearing that, my mother in law chimed in that they had lived in their house for over 20 years and that, in all that time, no Avon lady had EVER come to their door. At that VERY MOMENT the door bell rang and I got up and walked to the front door. You guessed it....I opened the door and there, standing right in front of me was a well dressed woman and the first thing out of mouth was "AVON CALLING."
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Date submitted:Mon, 30 Jan 2017 04:00:00 +0000Coincidence ID:8992