sport football

As of the 23rd May 2022 this website is archived and will receive no further updates.

understandinguncertainty.org was produced by the Winton programme for the public understanding of risk based in the Statistical Laboratory in the University of Cambridge. The aim was to help improve the way that uncertainty and risk are discussed in society, and show how probability and statistics can be both useful and entertaining.

Many of the animations were produced using Flash and will no longer work.

European Football - How much is chance?

Submitted by gmp26 on Thu, 06/08/2009 - 10:49am

Is football just a matter of luck? Just because a team ends up top of the league, does it really mean it is the best team? We have taken most of the major league football games played in Europe since 1993 and created an animation that shows what happened in each league and how much of the apparent difference between the teams was due to chance alone.