Probability and stats feature strongly in 'Core maths' proposals for 16-18 year olds

As of the 23rd May 2022 this website is archived and will receive no further updates. was produced by the Winton programme for the public understanding of risk based in the Statistical Laboratory in the University of Cambridge. The aim was to help improve the way that uncertainty and risk are discussed in society, and show how probability and statistics can be both useful and entertaining.

Many of the animations were produced using Flash and will no longer work.

The government is pushing ahead with proposals for a maths qualification to be taken by 16-18 year-olds who got at least a grade C in Maths GCSE but are not doing maths A level.

Further details were released on October 8th by the Department of Education, coinciding with the release of a report by the Advisory Committee on Mathematics Education (ACME) from its 'expert panel on core mathematics'.

This report includes the 'indicative content' contained in the table below


The importance of probability and statistics is clear. Notable aspects include focus on rough estimates, absolute and relative risk, natural frequencies, expectations, interpreting of risk statements and critiquing quantitative evidence. In fact just what we try and cover on this site!

Statement of interest

I am on the advisory board of the MEI project to develop a problem-solving curriculum and materials for this group of students.