Taking Chances - Winning with Probability

As of the 23rd May 2022 this website is archived and will receive no further updates.

understandinguncertainty.org was produced by the Winton programme for the public understanding of risk based in the Statistical Laboratory in the University of Cambridge. The aim was to help improve the way that uncertainty and risk are discussed in society, and show how probability and statistics can be both useful and entertaining.

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Author: John Haigh

Available in most book stores, at a cost of approximately ?, no real maths needed but you will get through more of it if you are patient and pay attention to the maths he tries to explain to you

If you know nothing about statistics or maths but are literate this book will blow your mind. The author outlines probability theory by highlighting the chance involved in playing games, like the lottery, football, and cards. He explains the concepts by guiding you through situations in which you guess an outcome and explains to you why it is a common misunderstanding, also diving, unavoidably, into the math to substantiate what may seem like counter-intuitive claims.

The author is a Reader in Mathematics and Statistics at the University of Sussex. His interest is in applied probability, initially through card games. http://www.maths.sussex.ac.uk/Staff/JH/