How surprising was the cluster of cycle deaths in London?

More or Less recently featured Jody Aberdein talking about the cluster of 6 cycle deaths in London over a 2 week period.

The paper with the details of the analysis can, for a while, be freely obtained from Significance magazine.

Details of the statistical methods are given here - these are necessarily quite complex due to the need to allow for all possible 2 week periods.


Very very interesting. Just wondered - is there any seasonality in deaths that needs to be considered?