about

Welcome to Understanding Uncertainty

david's picture

Are you uncertain? Are you struggling with risk, doubt, ignorance, ambiguity and indecision? You are not on your own.

Here we try and make some sense of what we hear about chance, risk, uncertainty and probability.

This site was launched in May 2008 and we are gradually adding material.

  • In Coincidences we look at why surprising things happen.
  • In National Lottery we examine the history of the UK Lottery and show some apparently remarkable events. Is it all just chance?
  • In Premier League we look at the English Football Premier League over two seasons. Who really are the best and worst teams?

There will be a lot more things appearing - see About Us.

Latest: The 2007-2008 Premier League

Watch how the 2007-2008 season developed.

You need to install the Adobe Flash Player to see the animation.

Click to enlarge the animation

Go to Premier League to get the full story on how much of the point-spread is due to chance alone.

About Us

gmp26's picture

What is this site?

This site is produced by the Winton programme for the public understanding of risk based in the Statistical Laboratory in the University of Cambridge. The aim is to help improve the way that uncertainty and risk are discussed in society, and show how probability and statistics can be both useful and entertaining!

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