James' Empty Blog: Probability, uncertainty, models and climate
discussion of Bayesian arguments at conference
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Recent blog posts
- Handling uncertainty about climate change
- Paul - the soothsaying cephalopod
- Risk-intelligence about children
- Small but lethal risks - how dangerous is it to go into hospital?
- The risks of war and peace
- Predicting the premier league results
- Calling all poor soothsayers: cash prizes for good forecasting
- Sometimes statistical models really can predict what will happen
- Can we say whether a drug would have enabled someone to live longer? Sadly not.
- Going out in a blaze of glory?
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