Welcome to Understanding Uncertainty

Welcome to the site that tries to make sense of chance, risk, luck, uncertainty and probability. Mathematics won't tell us what to do, but we think that understanding the numbers can help us deal with our own uncertainty and allow us to look critically at stories in the media.

• Do you have a coincidence story? David Spiegelhalter is collecting them over at http://cambridgecoincidences.org.
• We're supporting an exciting schools programme led by Nadia Baker of the Millennium Mathematics Project called What are the Odds? - the Hands on Risk and Probability Show. Follow the link for more information and to find out how to get your school involved.
• We guest edited an issue of NRICH recently - a collection of school level problems looking at surprising outcomes.

There will be a lot more things appearing - see About Us.