Welcome to Understanding Uncertainty
Posted November 29th, 2007 by david
Welcome to the site that tries to make sense of chance, risk, luck, uncertainty and probability. Mathematics won't tell us what to do, but we think that understanding the numbers can help us deal with our own uncertainty and allow us to look critically at stories in the media.
- In 2845 ways to spin the risk you can play with all the different ways you can present a risk, and see which make it look big and which make it look small.
- In Coincidences we look at why surprising things happen.
- In National Lottery we examine the history of the UK Lottery and show some apparently remarkable events. Is it all just chance?
- In Premier League we look at the English Football Premier League over two seasons. Who really are the best and worst teams?
- How long are you going to live? allows you to see the chances of a typical person your age surviving to a ripe old age, and shows how the prospects for survival have changed over the last 25 years, and how lifestyle has a big influence.
- In Risk in the media we look in detail at how some risk stories developed when the newspapers got hold of them.
There will be a lot more things appearing - see About Us.
