We're all going to die (sometime)

lecturePast experience and probability theory can be used to check the odds of your football team winning or judge the risks of activities such as riding motorcycles, taking illegal drugs, going into hospital or just living. Things get more difficult when we don't fully understand what is going on, like early on in the swine flu epidemic, or when we are dealing with huge complexity, as in climate change. Then it can be helpful to admit what we don't know.

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Republished from Warwick University Knowledge Centre

Comments

Anonymous's picture

Thanks for posting this and other videos, its a great resource. Coming from a physics background I thought it was crazy just how many pupils (and parents/other teachers) believe that climate change is a myth, but its exactly what a social scientist would expect. p.s. there was a good short NPR show on similar lines http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=124008307
Anonymous's picture

is the satins animation available to the public? I want to try and convince my uncle on satins to give up smoking. thanks
gmp26's picture

These 3 animations have alternative ways of displaying the risks associated with statins.
http://understandinguncertainty.org/spinning
http://understandinguncertainty.org/comparison
http://understandinguncertainty.org/balance (load > internal for satins data)